Brotherwo's 2013 PGA

[Brotherwo]

Going to start posting PGA again in 2013. I've been running well in the first 4 tournaments so let's hope it continues!

Final 2012 Record was 111-72-15 60.66% +25.923units


:toast:

 

[Murphy8276]

gl Brothertwo. Hope you have some winners for us soon!

:toast:

-murph

 

[Brotherwo]

AT&T Pebble Beach National
February 7th-10th

Let's start off the year with a long-long-long shot tournament winner. Risking 0.1 units on each.

Greg Owens +38500 - The guy hasn't played well in '13 however he has a great feel for Pebble. He finished 9th last year and in other years placed 3, 4 and 21st at Pebble. Would be a nice way to start the season

 

[atlantic10]

B2

Thanks for your contributions. You have proven to know this game well.

 

[Brotherwo]

B2

Thanks for your contributions. You have proven to know this game well.

Thanks hopefully I can put together some winners for us.

Matchups are now up at 5dimes, only one I'm locking in right now...
Molder over Noh +100

Once again all my matchup bets are risking 1 unit, whether negative or positive money. Futures are 0.1 units

 

[Brotherwo]

Molder over Noh +100

Adding:
Walker over De Jonge -110
Marino over Palmer +140
Estes over Sabbatini -110 (1st Rd)

 

[Brotherwo]

Most lines moving against me, uhoh! Molder up to +140 and tempting to grab another unit but I'm sticking with the plan

Adding:
Mahan over Simpson +105

 

[Brotherwo]

AT&T Pebble Beach National
February 7th-10th

Let's start off the year with a long-long-long shot tournament winner. Risking 0.1 units on each.

Greg Owens +38500 - The guy hasn't played well in '13 however he has a great feel for Pebble. He finished 9th last year and in other years placed 3, 4 and 21st at Pebble. Would be a nice way to start the season

1 shot back of the lead @)

 

[Brotherwo]

Round 2
Owen over Knox-115

 

[georgiasluke]

1 shot back of the lead @)

Tailed you on this yesterday, here's to us! Let's do this!! :toast:

 

[Brotherwo]

Tailed you on this yesterday, here's to us! Let's do this!! :toast:

F*%&! Spyglass is tearing Owens a new one, +3 through 4

 

[Brotherwo]

Rd 3
Cantlay over Know -105
Estes over Baddeley +105
Watney over Simpsom-105
Harrington over Furyk +110
Mahan over Westwood +100

 

[Brotherwo]

Stadler over Jacobson-110

 

[Brotherwo]

Did well on my Full Tournament plays 3-1 but had awful round 3 plays, ending the week...
5-6-1 -1.323units

Date	Tournament	Round	Bet	Risk	Odds	Grade	W/L
2/7/2013	AT&T Pebble Beach	Future	Greg Owens to win +38500	0.1	38500	L	(0.100)
2/7/2013	AT&T Pebble Beach	FT	Molder over Noh +100	1	100	W	1.000
2/7/2013	AT&T Pebble Beach	FT	Walker over De Jonge -110	1	-110	W	0.909
2/7/2013	AT&T Pebble Beach	FT	Marino over Palmer +140	1	140	L	(1.000)
2/7/2013	AT&T Pebble Beach	1	Estes over Sabbatini -110 (1st Rd)	1	-110	W	0.909
2/7/2013	AT&T Pebble Beach	FT	Mahan over Simpson +105	1	105	W	1.050
2/8/2013	AT&T Pebble Beach	2	Owen over Knox-115	1	-115	L	(1.000)
2/9/2013	AT&T Pebble Beach	3	Cantlay over Know -105	1	-105	L	(1.000)
2/9/2013	AT&T Pebble Beach	3	Estes over Baddeley +105	1	105	L	(1.000)
2/9/2013	AT&T Pebble Beach	3	Watney over Simpsom-105	1	-105	L	(1.000)
2/9/2013	AT&T Pebble Beach	3	Harrington over Furyk +110	1	110	L	(1.000)
2/9/2013	AT&T Pebble Beach	3	Mahan over Westwood +100	1	100	Push	-
2/10/2013	AT&T Pebble Beach	4	Stadler over Jacobson-110	1	-110	W	0.909
Total							(1.323)

 

[Brotherwo]

Northern Trust Riviera C.C. February 14-17th 2013

As you will be able to see I don't like betting favorite futures. If you do I'd take a look at Baddeley and Moore at +4000 but I just dont see much value in betting those for the long haul. Here are the long shots that I've bet...

John Rollins +15500
Cameron Tringale +22500
Jhonattan Vegas +43500

Each risking 0.1units

 

[Brotherwo]

Full tournament matchups (all risk 1 unit)
Kuchar over Mahan -120
DJ over Watson +100
Baddeley over Piercy -115
Simpson over Kirk -135
Stadler over Clark -130
Holmes over Woodland +105 *
Couples over Ogilvey -115
Tringale over Steele -120 **

* = Best bets

 

[Brotherwo]

Good news most moved in my favor except Baddeley/Piercy (-105) and DJ/Watson (+110)

Last year Riviera was one of the highlights of the 2012 season, hopefully this year will live up to it. Phil's birdie on 18 to push the tourney into a playoff followed by Keegan's was simply amazing theater!

 

[Brotherwo]

Riviera 5-3 +1.013
Overall 10-9-1 -0.31 units

Season Futures 0-3-1 -0.3 units

2/14/2013	Northern Trust Riviera	Future	John Rollins +15500	0.1	15500	L	(0.100)
2/14/2013	Northern Trust Riviera	Future	Cameron Tringale +22500	0.1	22500	L	(0.100)
2/14/2013	Northern Trust Riviera	Future	Jhonattan Vegas +43500	0.1	43500	Push	-
2/14/2013	Northern Trust Riviera	FT	Kuchar over Mahan -120	1	-120	L	(1.000)
2/14/2013	Northern Trust Riviera	FT	DJ over Watson +100	1	100	W	1.000
2/14/2013	Northern Trust Riviera	FT	Baddeley over Piercy -115	1	-115	L	(1.000)
2/14/2013	Northern Trust Riviera	FT	Simpson over Kirk -135	1	-135	W	0.741
2/14/2013	Northern Trust Riviera	FT	Stadler over Clark -130	1	-130	W	0.769
2/14/2013	Northern Trust Riviera	FT	Holmes over Woodland +105 *	1	105	L	(1.000)
2/14/2013	Northern Trust Riviera	FT	Couples over Ogilvey -115	1	-115	W	0.870
2/14/2013	Northern Trust Riviera	FT	Tringale over Steele -120 **	1	-120	W	0.833

 

[Brotherwo]

On to one of my favorite golf tournaments of the year,
WGC Matchplay February 20th - 24th 2013

Futures to win WGC matchplay
Choi +25000 (shocked by this number!)

Here are day 1 matchups, matchup odds havent been released at 5dimes yet..
7:25 a.m.: Sergio Garcia vs. Thongchai Jaidee
7:35 a.m.: Matt Kuchar vs. Hiroyuki Fujita
7:45 a.m.: Ian Poulter vs. Stephen Gallacher
7:55 a.m.: Bo Van Pelt vs. John Senden
8:05 a.m.: Charl Schwartzel vs. Russell Henley
8:15 a.m.: Zach Johnson vs. Jason Day
8:25 a.m.: Jason Dufner vs. Richard Sterne
8:35 a.m.: Hunter Mahan vs. Matteo Manassero
8:45 a.m.: Justin Rose vs. K.J. Choi
8:55 a.m.: Bill Haas vs. Nicolas Colsaerts
9:05 a.m.: Adam Scott vs. Tim Clark
9:15 a.m.: Jamie Donaldson vs. Thorbjorn Olesen
9:25 a.m.: Bubba Watson vs. Chris Wood
9:35 a.m.: Jim Furyk vs. Ryan Moore
9:45 a.m.: Lee Westwood vs. Rafael Cabrera-Bello
9:55 a.m.: Martin Kaymer vs. George Coetzee
10:05 a.m.: Keegan Bradley vs. Marcus Fraser
10:15 a.m.: Ernie Els vs. Fredrik Jacobson
10:25 a.m.: Steve Stricker vs. Henrik Stenson
10:35 a.m.: Nick Watney vs. David Toms
10:45 a.m.: Dustin Johnson vs. Alexander Noren
10:55 a.m.: Graeme McDowell vs. Padraig Harrington
11:05 a.m.: Webb Simpson vs. David Lynn
11:15 a.m.: Peter Hanson vs. Thomas Bjorn
11:25 a.m.: Louis Oosthuizen vs. Richie Ramsay
11:35 a.m.: Branden Grace vs. Robert Garrigus
11:45 a.m.: Luke Donald vs. Marcel Siem
11:55 a.m.: Paul Lawrie vs. Scott Piercy
12:05 p.m.: Rory McIlroy vs. Shane Lowry
12:15 p.m.: Rickie Fowler vs. Carl Pettersson
12:25 p.m.: Tiger Woods vs. Charles Howell III
12:35 p.m.: Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano vs. Francesco Molinari

 

[Brotherwo]

Rd 1
Schwartzel over Henley -225 *
Choi over Rose +150
Westwood over Cabrera -200
Sterne over Dufner +125
Moore over Furyk -110